Page Last Updated: Tuesday, 19 January 2016 11:02 EDT, 2002, 2008, 2016

HARTLEY CONSULTING
Solving
Complex Operational and Organizational Problems

PROJECT: Conference on Predicting National Instabilities

Dr. Dean S. Hartley III


Project Metadata Keywords
Label Name Other Year DurationYrs
Client US PACOM analysis US PACOM
Client OASD - SO/LIC Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD)
Dates 1998 1
Employer DOE Oak Ridge Facilities
Partner N/A
Pubs PACOM Instability Indicators Workshop, Y/DSRD-3134 author 1999
Consequence Management
DIME/PMESII Modeling
Distributed analysis
Game theory
Geopolitical analysis
Global War on Terrorism (GWOT)
Human factors
Human, Social, Cultural Behavior (HSCB) Modeling
Impact analysis
Irregular Warfare (IW)
Markov chains
Operations Other Than War (OOTW)
Optimization
Organizational structure
Queuing theory
Science, Math and Medicine
Search theory
Stability Operations (SASO, SSTR)
Statistical inference
Threat assessment

BACKGROUND

Projects with US PACOM on determining the requirements for modeling Operations Other Than War (OOTW) and concepts for modeling OOTW led to a joint PACOM / OASD - SO/LIC conference on predicting national instabilities that might lead to OOTW.

RESULTS

A large number of researchers in the various fields that might support predicting national instabilities gathered and presented concepts for this prediction.  These concepts included many mathematical methodologies, along with data to support their utility.


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